FIRST ON FOX: The State Department warns that antifascist groups are planning to participate in a “potentially more confrontational protest” this weekend as the far-right National Rally holds its political convention just days after widespread riots overwhelmed police and exposed major security failures.
As party leader Marine Le Pen prepares for the gathering on Oct. 24–25 in Orléans, France, an internal document obtained by Fox News Digital cautions that antagonists are planning more demonstrations near the convention venue that could “expose further security shortcomings and deepen political tensions.”
The warning comes at a particularly dangerous political moment for President Emmanuel Macron, considering the same unrest that exposed his government’s security vulnerabilities could also give National Rally and center-right parties an opening to challenge his record, according to the State Department assessment.
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Now, French authorities face another high-stakes security test as demonstrators prepare to converge on the congress of a party that could benefit politically from the previous unrest.
The demonstrations are expected to coincide with the National Rally’s two-day party congress, where Le Pen is set to launch her presidential campaign. Left-wing parties, unions and activist groups are planning a march Saturday, while antifascist groups have announced plans for a separate protest Sunday near the convention venue, according to the State Department assessment.
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National Rally President Jordan Bardella has ruled out canceling the congress, while local authorities are preparing additional security restrictions around the gathering.
The looming confrontation comes as France is still reeling from the Oct. 17 unrest, when authorities badly underestimated the scale of demonstrations that descended into widespread rioting and looting.
Some 550,000 people joined 110 marches nationwide, according to France’s Interior Ministry. More than 2,400 people were arrested, nearly 1,000 law enforcement officers and firefighters were injured and thousands of businesses were damaged. And intelligence failures that far underestimated the turnout left authorities overwhelmed and facing more than double the number of protesters originally estimated.
The State Department’s internal assessment notes that the violence has reshaped France’s political debate just six months before voters choose Macron’s successor. It says the unrest has shifted attention away from the economic and education grievances that initially drove the protests and toward public security and government accountability, potentially giving National Rally and center-right parties an opening to challenge Macron’s record.
French officials have acknowledged that intelligence and planning failures contributed to authorities being overwhelmed during the Oct. 17 unrest.
Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez offered his resignation after acknowledging police “lost control” in some major cities. Macron rejected it, citing the need for continuity in law enforcement command, and ordered “full transparency” over the failures in planning and intelligence-gathering that preceded the violence.
Nuñez has said authorities need to improve their ability to anticipate large-scale mobilizations, putting added pressure on security services to avoid a repeat when demonstrators converge on Orléans this weekend.
And the government may have little time to recover even if the National Rally congress passes without major violence.
Labor organizations are already mobilizing for nationwide strikes and demonstrations Nov. 5 over wages, public services and the proposed 2027 budget, according to the State Department document.
The internal assessment said Macron faces competing pressure to restore order while addressing the grievances fueling the protests, with limited fiscal room for concessions as parliament debates next year’s budget.
With parliamentary scrutiny looming and further demonstrations already planned, the State Department assessed that France faces another potential flash point that could “expose further security shortcomings and deepen political tensions.”
